Missing earnings targets: career consequences
Filed in archive risk by leon on September 30, 2008

Last year, I did a blog entry looking at how firms with restatements had bigger turnovers of chief executive officers and chief financial officers.
Now that's supported in a new study, CEO and CFO Career Consequences to Missing Quarterly Earnings Benchmarks. The study found that CFOs who miss analyst consensus forecasts are likely to have a bonus cut of 8%, and a 0.62% higher chance of being sacked. For CEOs, it's a bonus cut of 14% and 0.61% higher probability of being forced out. And their position is more precarious in the post Sarbanes-Oxley environment.
The paper says: "Interestingly, most of these career penalties for missing earnings benchmarks have increased in the post-SOX environment. Moreover, firms that give earnings guidance and miss the analysts' consensus estimate are associated with bigger career penalties for the CEO and the CFO. Bonus cuts for the CEO are higher if the firm has a long history of meeting analyst expectations in the past."
Still, the other way of looking at is that if you beat the benchmarks, your pay just soars.
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CEO and CFO Career Consequences to Missing Quarterly Earnings Benchmarks Rick Mergenthaler Shiva Ra
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